AltInst: Tradable birth quotas

     "How Many Children?: Fixing Total Annual Births as a
      Population Control Policy"
          POPULATION RESEARCH AND POLICY REVIEW, Forthcoming

      BY: K. K. FUNG
            University of Memphis

          Contact: K. K. Fung
          E-Mail: MAILTO:kkfung@memphis.edu
          Postal: University of Memphis, Department of
                    Economics, Memphis, Tennessee 38152 USA
          Phone: (901) 678-4626
          Fax: (901) 678-2685

     Note: This is a description of the paper and not the actual
           abstract.

     Commonly proposed family planning targets in terms of number
     of children per family will not lead to a smaller stationary
     population. Two children or one child per family will lead to
     a shrinking population. 2.17 children per family will lead to
     a larger stationary population, but it is administratively
     difficult to implement. A more direct way to achieve a
     smaller stationary population is to fix the annual births to
     a level equal to the annual deaths generated by the projected
     smaller stationary population. The fixed annual birth quotas
     can be initially allocated to families with deaths according
     to a variable births/deaths conversion ratio. These tradable
     birth quotas with fixed expiration dates will permit families
     to choose different numbers of children according to their
     desire and ability. Tradable fixed annual birth quotas can
     thus combine the macro-stability of a smaller stationary
     population with the micro-flexibility of optimum allocation
     of birth quotas.

     JEL Classification: J10, J13
     __________________

Robin Hanson
hanson@econ.berkeley.edu http://hanson.berkeley.edu/
RWJF Health Policy Scholar, Sch. of Public Health 510-643-1884
140 Warren Hall, UC Berkeley, CA 94720-7360 FAX: 510-643-2627

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Received on Wed Aug 5 18:55:27 1998