poly: Computers induce fast growth?

I've just revised my short paper on long term growth as a
sum of exponentials (http://hanson.berkeley.edu/longgrow.html).
And damn if I'm not starting to come around to the simplistic
view that the economy will start to follow Moore's law of
doubling every one to two years once computer hardware
dominates brain hardware.

It does seem way too simplistic and built on wishful thinking,
but damn if it doesn't fit very well with historical trends.
What's a harrumph cermudgeon theorist type to do?

Robin Hanson
hanson@econ.berkeley.edu http://hanson.berkeley.edu/
RWJF Health Policy Scholar, Sch. of Public Health 510-643-1884
140 Warren Hall, UC Berkeley, CA 94720-7360 FAX: 510-643-8614
Received on Thu Sep 10 23:45:30 1998