Re: poly: Modeling Economic Singularities

From: Perry E. Metzger <>
Date: Mon Apr 13 1998 - 08:25:34 PDT

"Nick Bostrom" writes:
> Robin says that on his model, one of the necessary
> conditions for an economic singularity is that the population growth
> remains less than the discount factor ~3%. But suppose that
> population growth rate were to rise to, say, 5% for the next 50
> years. If in 20 years we develop superintelligence plus full
> Drexlerian nanotechnology, why should it make any difference whether
> the average couple has 2.1 children or 2.4 children? This doesn't
> look like the sort of thing that could stop the singularity from
> happening. What am I missing?

As I said, I also have some serious questions about that
model. However, Robin seems to be hostile to my questioning of it.

Received on Mon Apr 13 15:31:05 1998

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