Re: poly: Modeling Economic Singularities

Robin Hanson writes:
> World per capita wealth was roughly constant in history till about 1700, and
> since then it has risen by roughly a factor of 30. (Population increased
> by roughly a factor of 8.) You're talking a 50% chance of an even larger
> jump in 10 years. Since there are other intelligent people who also find
> this claim incredible,

I'll point out that massive jumps in less than a generation HAVE
happened. See Korea from 1960 to 1980, for example. Thatched huts to
a first world economy in one generation.

Perry
Received on Thu Apr 30 19:14:14 1998